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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Juventus Stadium
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Juventus
2 - 0
Genoa

Cuadrado (9'), Dybala (82')
Pellegrini (34'), Morata (72'), Kean (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cambiaso (50')

We said: Juventus 2-0 Genoa

Successive wins should be a formality for Juventus this week, as Genoa offer little attacking threat and are always likely to concede at least one goal. Though victory would do nothing to answer Max Allegri's critics, the potential for an extended spell of success exists, given the Bianconeri's favourable run-in to the winter break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawGenoa
68.91%18.65%12.44%
Both teams to score 48.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28%42.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7%11.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.05%35.94%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16%44.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19%80.81%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 68.91%
    Genoa 12.44%
    Draw 18.65%
JuventusDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 12.04%
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 7.02%
4-0 @ 4.77%
4-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.82%
5-0 @ 2.08%
5-1 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 68.91%
1-1 @ 8.86%
0-0 @ 5.07%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 18.65%
0-1 @ 4.07%
1-2 @ 3.55%
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.04%
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 12.44%

Read more!
Read more!


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