SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Genoa |
55.81% ( 0.05) | 23.81% ( -0.01) | 20.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.01) | 50.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.01) | 72.46% ( 0.01) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0.01) | 17.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( 0.03) | 48.79% ( -0.03) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.05) | 39.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( -0.05) | 75.98% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 55.8% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.38% |
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