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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
NL

Genoa
1 - 2
Napoli

Goldaniga (49')
Goldaniga (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mertens (45+1'), Lozano (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawNapoli
21.74%22.09%56.17%
Both teams to score 57.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5%41.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.1%63.9%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63%69.37%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37%14.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.24%42.76%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 21.74%
    Napoli 56.17%
    Draw 22.09%
GenoaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 5.73%
1-0 @ 5.35%
2-0 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 21.74%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-1 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 8.87%
1-3 @ 6.33%
0-3 @ 5.68%
2-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 3.04%
0-4 @ 2.73%
2-4 @ 1.7%
1-5 @ 1.17%
0-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 56.17%


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