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UL
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
GL

Udinese
2 - 2
Genoa

Fofana (44'), Lasagna (73')
Sema (10'), Stryger Larsen (25'), Fofana (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pandev (81'), Pinamonti (90+7')
Goldaniga (42'), Sturaro (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawGenoa
41.04%26.1%32.86%
Both teams to score 53.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9%51.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05%72.95%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91%59.09%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68%29.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71%65.29%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 41.04%
    Genoa 32.86%
    Draw 26.09%
UdineseDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.09%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.21%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 32.86%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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