We said: Genoa 1-1 Salernitana
Genoa and Salernitana have already beaten each other this season and both teams will fancy their chances of success this weekend.
A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, and while Genoa will be desperate for their winless run to end, they may have to settle for yet another draw on this occasion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
