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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
GL

Fiorentina
6 - 0
Genoa

Odriozola (15'), Bonaventura (34'), Biraghi (42', 69'), Vlahovic (51'), Torreira (77')
Torreira (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Calafiori (32'), Portanova (36'), Sturaro (41')

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Genoa

Fiorentina will view this match as the perfect chance to return to winning ways in the league, and we are expecting the home side to triumph here, with Vlahovic potentially scoring the only goal of the match in a 1-0 success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 12.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawGenoa
70.82%17.1%12.08%
Both teams to score 53.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.7%36.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.57%58.43%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9%9.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.08%30.92%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.78%41.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.25%77.75%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.81%
    Genoa 12.08%
    Draw 17.1%
FiorentinaDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 9%
3-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 7.63%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.38%
5-0 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 2.03%
6-0 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 70.81%
1-1 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.23%
0-0 @ 3.75%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.1%
1-2 @ 3.53%
0-1 @ 3.33%
0-2 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.08%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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