Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.