Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.