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UL
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Friuli
FL

Udinese
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Nestorovski (86')
Llorente (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (64'), Kokorin (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawFiorentina
36.84%27.16%35.99%
Both teams to score 50.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96%55.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7%76.3%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24%28.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39%64.6%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72%29.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76%65.23%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 36.84%
    Fiorentina 35.99%
    Draw 27.16%
UdineseDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.84%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.35%
1-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.99%

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