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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
CL

Bologna
2 - 0
Cagliari

De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawCagliari
55.04%23.51%21.45%
Both teams to score 52.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94%48.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78%70.22%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67%17.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3%47.7%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.24%36.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45%73.55%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 55.03%
    Cagliari 21.45%
    Draw 23.51%
BolognaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.79%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 55.03%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.64%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.45%

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