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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
LL

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Lazio

Lukaku (22' pen., 45'), Martinez (64')
Lukaku (26'), Hakimi (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLazio
52.8%22.13%25.07%
Both teams to score 61.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07%37.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82%60.18%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5%14.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.51%42.49%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96%28.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31%63.69%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.8%
    Lazio 25.07%
    Draw 22.13%
Inter MilanDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.64%
1-0 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.8%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 4.06%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-1 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 25.07%

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