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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
SL

Lazio
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Milinkovic-Savic (25'), Immobile (71')
Patric (59'), Leiva (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caputo (6')
Santos (65'), Obiang (68'), Ferrari (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 3-1 (6.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match.

Result
LazioDrawSassuolo
57.52%20.4%22.08%
Both teams to score 64.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67%33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.28%54.72%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54%11.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.73%36.27%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32%27.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76%63.24%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 57.52%
    Sassuolo 22.08%
    Draw 20.4%
LazioDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 6.91%
1-0 @ 6.87%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.74%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-2 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.4%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 22.08%

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