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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
BL

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Benevento

Improta (7' og.), Martinez (57'), Lukaku (67', 78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caldirola (28'), Depaoli (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Benevento win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBenevento
63.65%19.14%17.2%
Both teams to score 59.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42%34.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48%56.52%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66%10.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.19%33.81%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11%69.9%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 63.65%
    Benevento 17.2%
    Draw 19.14%
Inter MilanDrawBenevento
2-1 @ 9.75%
2-0 @ 8.86%
1-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 7.37%
3-0 @ 6.7%
4-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 4.06%
4-0 @ 3.8%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.9%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 63.65%
1-1 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.14%
1-2 @ 4.73%
0-1 @ 3.79%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.2%

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