SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 21.47% | 21.82% | 56.71% |
| Both teams to score 57.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.4% | 40.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% | 62.98% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% | 32.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% | 69.07% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% | 14.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.16% | 41.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% 1-0 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.47% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.8% 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 5.74% 2-3 @ 3.62% 1-4 @ 3.15% 0-4 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.71% |
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