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Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
NL

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Napoli

D'Ambrosio (11'), Martinez (74')
Sanchez (22'), Brozovic (45+4'), Barella (55'), Biraghi (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lozano (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
42.25%24.7%33.05%
Both teams to score 58.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07%44.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71%67.29%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68%21.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74%54.26%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72%61.28%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 42.25%
    Napoli 33.05%
    Draw 24.7%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.94%
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.25%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 33.05%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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