SPAL
0 - 4
Inter Milan

Valdifiori (46'), Murgia (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Candreva (37'), Biraghi (55'), Sanchez (60'), Gagliardini (74')
Bastoni (32'), Biraghi (54'), Ranocchia (62')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A meeting between SPAL and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a SPAL win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Inter Milan
13.72%	18.69%	67.59%

Both teams to score 52.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.18%

39.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.82%

62.18%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.98%

41.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.43%

77.57%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.16%

10.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.09%

34.91%

Score Analysis

SPAL 13.72%

Inter Milan 67.59%

Draw 18.69%

SPAL	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 3.96% 2-1 @ 3.92% 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.72%	1-1 @ 8.8% 0-0 @ 4.44% 2-2 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.69%	0-2 @ 10.97% 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 7.25% 0-4 @ 4.52% 1-4 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-5 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.79% 1-5 @ 1.79% Other @ 4.21% Total : 67.59%