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Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 25, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Luigi Ferraris
IL

Genoa
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Criscito (16'), Romero (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (34', 90+3'), Sanchez (83')
Gagliardini (42'), Ranocchia (74'), Handanovic (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawInter Milan
19.67%21.24%59.08%
Both teams to score 57.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56%40.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.18%62.82%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.81%34.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.12%70.88%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62%13.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72%40.28%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 19.67%
    Inter Milan 59.08%
    Draw 21.24%
GenoaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 5.3%
1-0 @ 4.91%
2-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 19.67%
1-1 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.25%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-3 @ 6.66%
0-3 @ 6.21%
2-3 @ 3.58%
1-4 @ 3.35%
0-4 @ 3.12%
2-4 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 59.08%


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