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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 at 5pm UK
San Siro
V

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Venezia

Barella (40'), Dzeko (90')
Barella (25'), Bastoni (27'), de Vrij (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henry (19')
Lezzerini (40'), Modolo (45+2'), Kiyine (68'), Caldara (79')

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Venezia

A repeat of the 2-0 defeat they inflicted on Venezia a few weeks ago is a strong possibility on Saturday evening, as Inter were able to rest many of their main men in midweek and their visitors could be severely depleted. The champions are virtually unassailable at San Siro, and with goals coming from all quarters, they should be cruising to victory before the game reaches its climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 82.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 5.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.07%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.61%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawVenezia
82.65%11.8%5.55%
Both teams to score 43.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69%55.31%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94%6.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.1%22.9%
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.82%54.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.61%87.39%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 82.64%
    Venezia 5.55%
    Draw 11.8%
Inter MilanDrawVenezia
2-0 @ 12.87%
3-0 @ 12.07%
1-0 @ 9.16%
4-0 @ 8.49%
2-1 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 7.4%
4-1 @ 5.2%
5-0 @ 4.78%
5-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.27%
6-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.59%
6-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 82.64%
1-1 @ 5.61%
0-0 @ 3.26%
2-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 11.8%
0-1 @ 1.99%
1-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 5.55%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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