When La Dea meets the Old Lady it is often eventful - as January's 3-3 draw in Turin suggests - and given Juve's recent woes, the time could be right for Atalanta to strike. The Nerazzurri are not always at their best on home soil, but they have enough guile to counter their visitors' reactive approach and seize victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
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