After both progressed to the cup quarter-finals in midweek, two much-changed sides will be pitched together in a fascinating match-up on Sunday: Atalanta suddenly cannot stop scoring, while Juve have generally been resilient at the back - that hammering at Napoli aside. The troubled hosts are likely to regain their composure, though, and grind out another imperfect win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Atalanta BC
32.63% ( -2.35)	27.55% ( 0.38)	39.81% ( 1.96)

Both teams to score 48.73% (

-1.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.1% (

-1.82)

56.89% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

-1.48)

77.81% (

1.48)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-2.46)

32.39% (

2.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-2.87)

68.9% (

2.87)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

0.25)

27.93% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

0.32)

63.55% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Juventus 32.63%

Atalanta BC 39.81%

Draw 27.54%

Juventus	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.63%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.85) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.81%