Though concerns remain about their dubious back line, Lazio have perhaps the ideal opponents to come up against following a dispiriting cup loss.
The Aquile's fluent front three will surely give the run around to a Bologna rearguard low on confidence due to recent events, and they can be expected to score at least twice on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
