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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
BL

Sassuolo
0 - 3
Bologna


Magnanelli (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Orsolini (36'), Hickey (44'), Santander (90+4')
Svanberg (59'), Dominguez (64'), Santander (76')

We said: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna

With just one win between them in six outings, this is a difficult match to call. Both teams have the freedom to push for maximum points, but we feel that it is more likely that they cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawBologna
51.17%22.81%26.02%
Both teams to score 60.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.74%40.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37%62.64%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13%15.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91%45.1%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44%28.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64%64.36%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 51.17%
    Bologna 26.02%
    Draw 22.8%
SassuoloDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.9%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 2.72%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 51.17%
1-1 @ 10.45%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-1 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 26.02%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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