We said: Hellas Verona 2-1 Bologna
With this being a game between a club who is inconsistent and another that are out of form, we cannot predict a winner with any great certainty. Nevertheless, with home form and a couple of recent wins in their favour, Verona appear most likely to get over the line by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
