Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
