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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
LL

Atalanta
2 - 2
Lazio

Zapata (45+1'), de Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
59.45%22.58%17.97%
Both teams to score 49.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18%48.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08%70.92%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95%16.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58%45.42%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05%40.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49%77.51%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 59.44%
    Lazio 17.97%
    Draw 22.57%
Atalanta BCDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 5.99%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.12%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 59.44%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.87%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 17.97%

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