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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
S

Lazio
3 - 0
Salernitana

Immobile (31'), Pedro (36'), Alberto (69')
Cataldi (11')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gyomber (9'), Obi (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSalernitana
63.85%21.19%14.96%
Both teams to score 47.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75%48.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6%70.4%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57%14.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.63%42.37%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.52%44.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.49%80.51%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 63.83%
    Salernitana 14.96%
    Draw 21.19%
LazioDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 12.42%
2-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 6.29%
4-0 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.55%
5-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 63.83%
1-1 @ 10.06%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.19%
0-1 @ 5.2%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.96%

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