Notably, Fiorentina have scored the joint-most Serie A goals from set-piece situations this season - averaging one per game so far - and they are very likely to find the net again on Sunday.
Lecce are much tougher to beat on home turf than on the road, though, so the Salentini may be able to hold out for a precious point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
0.26) 
-0.36) 
