Lecce could lose their first three games for just a third time in their Serie A history - and the first since 1997 - as they lack thrust in the final third and Cagliari have settled into their post-Claudio Ranieri era quite smoothly.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.5) 
-0.61) 
