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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Ennio Tardini
AL

Parma
1 - 2
Atalanta

Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
17.51%19.45%63.04%
Both teams to score 59.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47%35.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42%57.58%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47%33.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83%70.17%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.78%
Score Analysis
    Parma 17.51%
    Atalanta BC 63.04%
    Draw 19.45%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.81%
1-0 @ 3.95%
2-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.51%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 3.61%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 8.97%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 7.28%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-4 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.98%
0-4 @ 3.71%
2-4 @ 2.22%
1-5 @ 1.81%
0-5 @ 1.65%
2-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 63.04%


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