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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
PL

Roma
2 - 1
Parma

Mkhitaryan (43'), Veretout (57')
Cristante (9'), Peres (49'), Diawara (71'), Mkhitaryan (78'), Ibanez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kucka (9' pen.)
Kurtic (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Parma had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawParma
63.43%20.19%16.38%
Both teams to score 54.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85%41.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.46%63.54%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.66%12.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.85%38.15%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.72%38.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96%75.04%
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.43%
    Parma 16.38%
    Draw 20.19%
RomaDrawParma
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.33%
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 63.43%
1-1 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.77%
0-0 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-1 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.53%
1-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.38%


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