AC Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Kessie (55'), Romagnoli (59'), Calhanoglu (77')
Conti (33')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kurtic (44')
Grassi (33'), Darmian (65')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Parma
59.14%	21.65%	19.21%

Both teams to score 54.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.62%

65.38%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82%

14.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.11%

41.88%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86%

36.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08%

72.92%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 59.14%

Parma 19.21%

Draw 21.64%

AC Milan	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.48% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.14%	1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.64%	0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.21%