Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.