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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 14, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
BL

Atalanta
6 - 2
Brescia

Pasalic (2', 55', 58'), de Roon (25'), Malinovskiy (28'), Zapata (30')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Torregrossa (8'), Spalek (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.76%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBrescia
72.76%16.6%10.64%
Both teams to score 50.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93%38.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.66%60.34%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89%9.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07%30.93%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07%44.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.12%80.87%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.75%
    Brescia 10.64%
    Draw 16.6%
Atalanta BCDrawBrescia
2-0 @ 11.74%
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 7.51%
4-0 @ 5.62%
4-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3%
5-0 @ 2.69%
5-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.8%
6-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 72.75%
1-1 @ 7.85%
0-0 @ 4.09%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 16.6%
0-1 @ 3.27%
1-2 @ 3.14%
0-2 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 10.64%


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