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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Jul 8, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
SL

Atalanta
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Toloi (75'), Muriel (85')
Djimsiti (24'), G. (63'), Castagne (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Thorsby (35'), Jankto (56'), Murru (63'), Bereszynski (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
69.87%17.15%12.98%
Both teams to score 56.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.85%34.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.04%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.23%8.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.89%30.11%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61%38.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85%75.15%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 69.87%
    Sampdoria 12.98%
    Draw 17.15%
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 8.2%
3-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 4.93%
4-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 3.71%
5-0 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 2.26%
5-2 @ 1.1%
6-0 @ 0.97%
6-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 69.87%
1-1 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 4.57%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 17.15%
1-2 @ 3.75%
0-1 @ 3.22%
0-2 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.46%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 12.98%


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