Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.