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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
BL

Sampdoria
2 - 3
Benevento

Quagliarella (8'), Colley (18')
Augello (32'), Tonelli (48'), Ramirez (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Caldirola (33', 72'), Letizia (88')
Dabo (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawBenevento
36.17%26.24%37.59%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78%51.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95%73.05%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68%27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.23%62.77%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49%26.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3%61.7%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 36.17%
    Benevento 37.59%
    Draw 26.23%
SampdoriaDrawBenevento
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.17%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.24%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.59%


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