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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 1, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
SL

Brescia
1 - 1
Sampdoria

Torregrossa (49' pen.)
Gastaldello (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Leris (41')
Vieira (36'), Falcone (48'), Askildsen (81')
Askildsen (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Brescia win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawSampdoria
34.9%24.6%40.49%
Both teams to score 58.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98%44.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6%66.4%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8%59.19%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24%21.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06%54.93%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 34.9%
    Sampdoria 40.49%
    Draw 24.59%
BresciaDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.9%
1-1 @ 11.45%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.24%
1-3 @ 4.44%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.21%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.49%


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