Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.