Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
