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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
FL

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Balde (31'), Quagliarella (71')
Damsgaard (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vlahovic (37')
Venuti (34'), Pulgar (61'), Bonaventura (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
38.55%25.28%36.17%
Both teams to score 56.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.01%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76%69.24%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68%58.32%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87%60.13%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 38.55%
    Fiorentina 36.17%
    Draw 25.28%
SampdoriaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.69%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.55%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.37%
1-2 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 0.92%
0-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 36.17%

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