MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 18:21:08
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Thursday, March 28
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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ezio Scida
TL

Crotone
4 - 2
Torino

Simy (27' pen., 54'), Reca (80'), Ounas (90+4')
Petriccione (43'), Cordaz (45+1'), Zanellato (83'), Ounas (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mandragora (45'), Sanabria (84')
Rincon (79')
Rincon (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
CrotoneDrawTorino
32.55%25.78%41.67%
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15%49.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.16%71.84%
Crotone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.76%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15%57.84%
Score Analysis
    Crotone 32.55%
    Torino 41.67%
    Draw 25.78%
CrotoneDrawTorino
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.55%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.1%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.52%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.67%

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