Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torino in this match.