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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 14, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
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Bologna
3 - 1
Sampdoria

Barrow (27'), Svanberg (41'), Soriano (70')
Palacio (32'), Skov Olsen (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quagliarella (37')
Ferrari (56'), Ramirez (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawSampdoria
41.37%24.59%34.04%
Both teams to score 58.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85%44.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47%66.53%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6%21.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61%54.38%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03%59.96%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 41.37%
    Sampdoria 34.04%
    Draw 24.59%
BolognaDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 8.84%
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 11.46%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-1 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.04%

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