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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
V

AC Milan
2 - 0
Venezia

Diaz (68'), Hernandez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forte (25'), Caldara (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.7%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawVenezia
70.7%18.03%11.26%
Both teams to score 47.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.99%43.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58%65.41%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08%10.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.91%35.09%
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.96%47.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.48%82.51%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 70.69%
    Venezia 11.26%
    Draw 18.03%
AC MilanDrawVenezia
2-0 @ 12.59%
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 7.02%
4-0 @ 5.15%
4-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 2.28%
5-1 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 70.69%
1-1 @ 8.58%
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.87%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-2 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 11.26%

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