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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
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Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Gosens (3'), Zappacosta (37')
Malinovskyi (61'), Pezzella (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Berardi (44')
Marco Ferrari (25'), Lopez (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
62.04%20.35%17.6%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36%39.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01%61.99%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73%12.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62%38%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08%35.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.7%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 62.05%
    Sassuolo 17.6%
    Draw 20.35%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 6.79%
4-1 @ 3.65%
4-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 62.05%
1-1 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-1 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 17.6%

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