Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.
