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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
SL

Roma
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Cristante (37'), El Shaarawy (90+1')
Ibanez (43'), Cristante (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duricic (57')
Chiriches (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawSassuolo
51.97%22.35%25.68%
Both teams to score 61.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63%38.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.34%60.66%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08%14.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.69%43.31%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59%63.41%
Score Analysis
    Roma 51.97%
    Sassuolo 25.68%
    Draw 22.34%
RomaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.61%
1-0 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 6.09%
3-0 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 51.97%
1-1 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.15%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 25.68%

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