Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
