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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2020 at 11.30am UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
SL

Spezia Calcio
1 - 4
Sassuolo

Galabinov (30')
Sala (44'), Zoet (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duricic (12'), Berardi (64' pen.), Defrel (66'), Caputo (76')
Duricic (45+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
48.77%24.01%27.22%
Both teams to score 57.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.22%44.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86%67.14%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53%18.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.34%49.66%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96%30.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84%66.16%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 48.77%
    Sassuolo 27.22%
    Draw 24%
SpeziaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 11.26%
2-2 @ 5.72%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-1 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 27.22%


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