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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Jul 21, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Citta del Tricolore
ML

Sassuolo
1 - 2
AC Milan

Caputo (42' pen.)
Bourabia (22'), Locatelli (34')
Bourabia (45+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ibrahimovic (19', 45+2')
Hernandez (38'), Bennacer (61'), Laxalt (76'), Bonaventura (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
31.31%22.1%46.58%
Both teams to score 66.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89%33.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15%54.84%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5%21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.45%54.54%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17%14.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86%43.13%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 31.31%
    AC Milan 46.58%
    Draw 22.1%
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.19%
1-0 @ 4.9%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 31.31%
1-1 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.19%
3-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 5.68%
2-3 @ 4.37%
0-3 @ 3.69%
1-4 @ 2.71%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.76%
3-4 @ 1.07%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 46.58%


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