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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
SC

Sampdoria
2 - 1
Spezia

Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
49.27%24.69%26.03%
Both teams to score 53.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.37%48.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.26%70.74%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19%51.81%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.57%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 49.27%
    Spezia 26.03%
    Draw 24.69%
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.23%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 26.03%

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