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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
GL

Spezia
1 - 1
Genoa

Sirigu (66' og.)
Bastoni (55'), Provedel (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Criscito (86' pen.)
Biraschi (60'), Kallon (65'), Caicedo (79'), Masiello (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawGenoa
40.77%26.03%33.19%
Both teams to score 53.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25%50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35%72.65%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.06%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07%28.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18%64.81%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.77%
    Genoa 33.19%
    Draw 26.03%
SpeziaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.19%

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