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HV
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
SC

Hellas Verona
4 - 0
Spezia

Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSpezia
44.75%25.3%29.95%
Both teams to score 54.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23%48.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13%70.87%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22%21.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.02%54.98%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89%30.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75%66.25%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 44.75%
    Spezia 29.95%
    Draw 25.29%
Hellas VeronaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.75%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.56%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.95%

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