Generally tough to beat, Torino may fancy their chances of leaving San Siro with at least a point, but a lack of firepower is set to haunt them again. Should the visitors fail to score their first Serie A goal of the season, Milan's new-look attack can punish them - particularly as Stefano Pioli can now call upon some lively options from the bench.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.