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Thursday, November 7
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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
TL

AC Milan
4 - 1
Torino

Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 0-2 AC Milan
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Cagliari
Monday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Torino

Generally tough to beat, Torino may fancy their chances of leaving San Siro with at least a point, but a lack of firepower is set to haunt them again. Should the visitors fail to score their first Serie A goal of the season, Milan's new-look attack can punish them - particularly as Stefano Pioli can now call upon some lively options from the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawTorino
55.66% (0.0019999999999953 0) 24.18%20.16%
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)52.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.97%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.0020000000000095 0)18.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.98%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.5% (0.0020000000000024 0)40.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)77.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 55.66%
    Torino 20.16%
    Draw 24.17%
AC MilanDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.68%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.66%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.83%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 20.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 0-2 AC Milan
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Novara
Sunday, August 13 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Trento
Wednesday, August 9 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, August 2 at 4am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 AC Milan (0-0 pen.)
Friday, July 28 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Cagliari
Monday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Monday, August 14 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Inter Milan
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-4 Torino
Saturday, May 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A


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